Devangshu Datta

All stories by Devangshu Datta

Significant room for upside in Indian Hotels stock

Significant room for upside in Indian Hotels stock

Rediff.com5 Apr 2023

In the longer-term, analysts expect IHCL to see revenue CAGR of 15 per cent between FY23 to FY25 and Ebitda CAGR of 20 per cent in the same period. Analysts are seeing targets of around Rs 375-Rs 380 for the stock, which is a significant upside from the current Rs 313.

More upsides ahead for Coal India

More upsides ahead for Coal India

Rediff.com4 Apr 2023

Conflicting views on Coal India (CIL) might leave investors confused. The bullish perspective that India has strong power demand (and also high steel production) means high demand for coal. As CIL is the monopoly producer of coal -- supplying over 80 per cent of the domestic requirement - the public sector undertaking should be a beneficiary of the rising power demand.

Metal stocks: Buying opportunity or a deeper fall?

Metal stocks: Buying opportunity or a deeper fall?

Rediff.com28 Mar 2023

Given wild swings, investors are wondering where the metal market is going. There was a strong uptrend in industrial metal through much of the last three years due to fears of supply chain issues - first due to Covid-19 and then due to the Ukraine War. That uptrend broke down as it became apparent that global growth would moderate as inflation rose and Western Europe (the EU plus the UK) went into a near-recession and China was in a rolling lockdown.

Global Banking Crisis: Low Prices To Brighten Prospects Of OMCs

Global Banking Crisis: Low Prices To Brighten Prospects Of OMCs

Rediff.com27 Mar 2023

While prices sustaining lower levels is crucial, Govt actions are also a key monitorable given the forthcoming elections in 2024.

Magnus Carlsen's Last Gambit

Magnus Carlsen's Last Gambit

Rediff.com21 Mar 2023

A title match requires months of preparation and pulling out of other events, putting together a team of seconds, etc. Carlsen just says he lacks the motivation to do this again.

Nifty PSU: Positive rerating of these stocks likely

Nifty PSU: Positive rerating of these stocks likely

Rediff.com16 Mar 2023

The last year has seen public sector undertakings (PSUs) outperforming the Nifty50, albeit by a small degree. But PSU valuations are still, on average, less than half of private sector peers at price-to-equity or PE 8.7x for the Nifty PSU Index versus 20.9x for the Nifty50. There are several reasons for lower valuation.

Why investors have largely ignored Indus Towers

Why investors have largely ignored Indus Towers

Rediff.com15 Mar 2023

Telecom infrastructure player Indus Towers has been largely ignored by investors with occasional bursts of trading when there's news flow. For example, the stock fell from Rs 188 (Jan 1, 2023) to Rs 135 (Jan 27) and then bounced back to Rs 165 in early February as the Government of India (GoI) converted Vodafone Idea's (Vi) debt into equity and Bharti Airtel pushed up its direct stake in Indus to 47.95 per cent. The cash-strapped Vi holds 21 per cent stake in Indus Towers and Indus also has substantial receivables to come in from Vi which is a negative overhang.

Valuation comfort remains with PSU banks despite sharp gains

Valuation comfort remains with PSU banks despite sharp gains

Rediff.com13 Mar 2023

Despite rising interest rates, and high inflation, the banking sector is doing well, on the back of a recovering economy. The last couple of quarters indicate credit demand is picking up and Return on Assets (RoA) is more than acceptable at the moment. The PSU bank pack may be more interesting at the moment simply due to being valued at far lower multiples than the private banks.

India's aviation sector likely to return to profit in FY24 on higher traffic, pricing

India's aviation sector likely to return to profit in FY24 on higher traffic, pricing

Rediff.com9 Mar 2023

India's aviation industry could return to profitability in 2023-24 for the first time since the pandemic. The industry may pare aggregated net loss by 75-80 per cent year-on-year (YoY) to between Rs 3,500 crore and Rs 4,500 crore in 2022-23 (FY23), compared with Rs 17,500 crore of net losses in 2021-22 (FY22). A combination of recovery in passenger volumes and easing cost pressures due to stable fuel and foreign exchange (forex) costs could spark a turnaround. CRISIL says domestic and international passenger traffic recovered to 90 per cent and 98 per cent, respectively, of pre-pandemic traffic (2019-20, or FY20), in April-December 2022, compared with April-December 2019.

Will reopening of China affect India's metal companies?

Will reopening of China affect India's metal companies?

Rediff.com7 Mar 2023

The reopening of China has led to an ongoing readjustment of the global metals and commodities markets. China has a massive production capacity surplus to its own domestic demand. At the same time, it also has high domestic demand. China is also becoming carbon sensitive.

Despite high valuations, analysts put a 'buy' on Siemens

Despite high valuations, analysts put a 'buy' on Siemens

Rediff.com6 Mar 2023

Things are looking up for engineering firms and Siemens is likely to be one of the leading beneficiaries. Apart from the generic revival in activity, which is expected to continue through the 2023-24 financial year (FY24), the Budget has a strong infrastructure thrust, which works in Siemens' favour. The company reported a standalone Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) of Rs 550 crore (up 66 per cent year-on-year or YoY) in Q1FY23 (Siemens follows the October-September accounting year).

Despite NCLT setback, analysts remain positive on Zee Entertainment

Despite NCLT setback, analysts remain positive on Zee Entertainment

Rediff.com3 Mar 2023

The National Company Law Tribunal's (NCLT's) declaration that Zee Entertainment is bankrupt adds a new measure of uncertainty to the proposed merger with Sony. Three entities -- Aditya Birla Finance, IndusInd Bank and YES Bank -- have filed appeals in the NCLT for recoveries of Rs 130 crore, Rs 90 crore and Rs 540 crore, respectively. The money was borrowed by a related party - Siti cable - and not returned. Zee was a corporate guarantor.

Investors should remain upbeat on cement sector; price hike is a positive

Investors should remain upbeat on cement sector; price hike is a positive

Rediff.com2 Mar 2023

The cement sector may be looking at better realisations and higher volume offtake going by the trends of the October-December quarter of the 2022-23 financial year (Q3FY23), a recent price hike, and the promise of a continued infrastructure thrust in FY24. In Q3, revenues rose by an aggregate of 17 per cent year-on-year (YoY), but Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) per tonne, fell by 14 per cent YoY while profit after tax (PAT) rose by 23 per cent YoY. Expenses were up 30 per cent per tonne YoY - power and fuel costs in particular - and that's no surprise given the rise in fossil fuel prices.

Global slowdown may weigh on Bharat Forge

Global slowdown may weigh on Bharat Forge

Rediff.com1 Mar 2023

Consolidated earnings of Bharat Forge in Q3FY23 missed estimates, largely due to higher-than-expected interest burden, although operational numbers (including standalone numbers) were close to consensus. Still, the management guidance was positive and appeared to be based on logic.

Good upside seen in Oil India stock

Good upside seen in Oil India stock

Rediff.com28 Feb 2023

Notwithstanding the windfall tax placing a cap on profits, oil and gas producers like Oil India (OIL) and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) have done well in the October-December quarter (third quarter, or Q3) of 2022-23 (FY23). ONGC faces the drag of poor results from its subsidiary Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, and in comparative terms, OIL is better off. Standalone net sales in Q3FY23 stood at Rs 5,900 crore - up 57 per cent year-on-year (YoY), up 2 per cent quarter-on-quarter (QoQ).

Info Edge: Investors should wait for sell-off to end before making fresh entry

Info Edge: Investors should wait for sell-off to end before making fresh entry

Rediff.com21 Feb 2023

Although Info Edge delivered good results in the October-December quarter of the 2022-23 financial year (Q3FY23), the management guidance flagged visible weakness in the IT segment. That seems to have spooked investors who downgraded valuations for a very highly-valued company. The stock dropped by over 9 per cent as the market responded to the guidance and its implications more than the results.

Cyber Scams: How To Stay Protected

Cyber Scams: How To Stay Protected

Rediff.com17 Feb 2023

Don't recharge your phone at public outlets -- carry a power bank instead. Avoid clicking on links sent by 'friends'. If you get into an online sexual encounter with a stranger and get blackmailed, refuse to pay up.

Adani, Hindenburg, Hydrogen...

Adani, Hindenburg, Hydrogen...

Rediff.com7 Feb 2023

Given the hydrogen connection, it's ironic that Hindenburg Research released a long report, accusing the Adani group of financial manipulation, observes Devangshu Datta.

Can ChatGPT Cause A Global Catastrophe?

Can ChatGPT Cause A Global Catastrophe?

Rediff.com3 Feb 2023

Suppose NLP is weaponised to influence policymakers to go the wrong way on climate change, or launch military attacks on neighbouring countries, warns Devangshu Datta.

Why the 'sponsorless' mutual funds could be a good idea

Why the 'sponsorless' mutual funds could be a good idea

Rediff.com27 Jan 2023

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has just released a proposal to alter the regulations pertaining to the sponsor system for mutual funds. One of the reasons for the proposed changes is that there are two conflicting regulations that need to be clarified. The other reason is that the sponsor system may itself be outdated as it stands, and the proposed changes would allow new entities such as private equity funds and portfolio management services to enter this space.

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